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科法斯報告關於中澳貿易關係的看法

2020 年，中澳雙邊關係急劇惡化，中國對澳洲多項出口產品施加正式和非正式貿易限制。但外界越來越擔心的是，隨著中澳雙邊關係緊張局勢的升級，中國將對澳洲採取更為強硬的立場。

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歐洲企業破產悖論：奇跡與幻象

儘管新冠疫情的實際影響仍不明確，2020 年歐洲所有主要經濟體的企業破產數量卻均呈現下降趨勢。科Z法斯集團研究發現，企業財務健康狀況的預期惡化與實際企業破產數量之間的差距表明，大量的“隱性破產”被推遲，而未能得到阻止。

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油價波動影響中東和非洲石油生產國經濟多樣化

新冠肺炎疫情對全球 GDP 增長和全球貿易造成負面影響，導致 2020年春季油價大幅下跌。此次油價雖為暫時性下跌，但對中東和非洲石油出口國都造成了不同程度的影響（視國家產出對石油的依賴程度，以及財政實力和國際石油儲備情況而異）。儘管科法斯預期 2021 年油價將達到平均每桶 60 美元，但石油生產國仍將面臨油價波動的挑戰。

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科法斯 2020 年第四季度貿易風險報告 - 不均衡的全球經濟復甦

科法斯發佈最新一季貿易風險報告及 2021 年《國家與行業風險手冊》，指出各個國家、行業及收入階層將經歷不均衡復甦。

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Poland: Payment delays between companies shorten during the pandemic

The year 2020 was marked by the COVID-19 pandemic. In order to mitigate the impact of this difficult economic situation on Polish companies, various liquidity-supporting aid measures were introduced, such as tax and contribution exemptions and deferrals. As a result, despite the extensive economic crisis, payment delays between companies have shortened – however, with these aid measures are to be phased out in 2021, two thirds of companies expect their business activities to deteriorate this year.

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COFACE SA: Moody's raises the outlook for Coface to “stable”

The rating agency Moody’s, on 10th February 2021, has confirmed the financial strength rating (Insurance Financial Strength – IFS) for Coface at A2. The agency has also raised the outlook for Coface, which is now stable.

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Coface FY-2020 results: Net income at €82.9m and 100% pay-out ratio

Coface releases its FY 2020 Financial Results.

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Governance evolution – Bernardo Sanchez Incera appointed Chairman of the Board of Directors

Following the change in the shareholder base and the arrival of Arch Capital Group Ltd. in Coface's capital, COFACE SA's Board of Directors is evolving. Bernardo Sanchez Incera has been appointed Chairman of the Board of Directors.

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Attend our 25th Country Risk Conference 8-10 february

This year at our Country Risk Conference: 3 round tables to embrace the new business risks in a post-covid world.

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科法斯宣佈新任亞太區經濟學家

科法斯今天宣佈任命歐韋良(Bernard Aw)先生為亞太區經濟學家，該任命於 2020 年 12 月 1 日生效。

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科法斯簽署 L’autre cercle 宣導的《LGBT+ 憲章》，承諾提高組織內部對 LGBT+ 群體的包容性

科法斯簽署 L'autre cercle 宣導的《LGBT+ 憲章》，該協會致力於提高工作場所對 LGBT+ 群體的包容性。

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9M-2020 Financial Results: Strong balance sheet and positive operational KPIs

Coface releases its 9M-2020 Financial Results : A strong balance sheet and positive operational KPIs allow to launch share buyback programme

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新冠疫情加劇政治風險

《科法斯 2020年第三季度貿易風險報告》發佈的最新科法斯政治風險指數凸顯雙重趨勢：一方面，全球層面的衝突風險水平有所降低，另一方面，政治和社會脆弱風險在個別國家有所上升。

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German companies have switched to “crisis-mode” and offer less payment terms

German companies want to cash in as early as possible, according to the fourth edition of Coface’s survey on corporate payment experience in Germany, conducted in July and early-August 2020, with 753 participating companies located in Germany.

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Coface reports a positive net income of €11.3m for the second quarter 2020 and continues to implement its strategic plan

Turnover for the first semester: €725m, down 0.6% at constant FX and perimeter:
Client retention and new business achieve record levels, with a positive net production of €33m.
First effects of re-pricing are now visible (+0.2%).
Revenues from services progress by 7%, including information services up by 13%.
Client activities continue to slowdown – a trend expected to continue over the following quarters.

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後疫情時代的生產設施遷移：對中東歐國家是否是一種機遇？

大多數中東歐國家在 2004 年加入歐盟 (EU)，其對外貿易和供應鏈參與程度近年來均有提高。

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全球交通運輸：疫情過後將面臨怎樣的未來？

新冠肺炎(COVID-19)疫情引發了流動危機，這主要是由於社會安全距離的要求以及避免密閉空間以限制病毒傳播。這對全球交通運輸行業造成了災難性的影響，其中航空旅客運輸是受影響最大。

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美國：企業破產“雙重天”

疫情肆虐全美，經濟深受重創，科法斯的基準情景預測 2020 年美國經濟萎縮 5.6%，2021 年將回升 3.3%。然而，這一預測恐將發生變化，因為近期已有幾個州的疫情捲土重來，令 4 月份全面封鎖後剛剛重啟的經濟再次熄火，甚至出現倒退。

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Coface finalises the acquisition of GIEK Kredittforsikring AS

Coface announces the closing of the acquisition of GIEK Kredittforsikring AS, a company that manages a short-term export credit insurance portfolio.

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2020 年亞太區企業付款調查：新冠疫情或將澆滅去年以來的經濟復甦勢頭

2019 年中美之間爆發貿易戰之後，隨著供應鏈轉移和聯準會注入額外的流動性，科法斯發現亞洲（中國以外）經濟顯露出復甦態勢 。

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