新聞, 經濟分析 及洞察

商業風險儀錶板

探索科法斯全面的風險儀表板,為 160 個國家和 13 個產業部門提供深入的風險評估,以做出策略決策

新聞與媒體返回

經濟報告

  • #經濟報告

    EU–US: a trade compromise to avert escalation, but under close scrutiny

    The compromise reached on 20 May between the Council of the European Union and the European Parliament on the texts ratifying the Turnberry Agreement marks a new stage in trade relations between Brussels and Washington. But behind the appearance of a transatlantic thaw, the agreement primarily reflects a risk management approach: the aim is to avoid a new surge in US protectionism whilst retaining the means to retaliate should the United States renege on its commitments.

  • #經濟報告

    Middle East: a cost shock, not (yet) a supply shock, for China

    Better equipped than its competitors to deal with energy shocks, China is currently limiting supply disruptions linked to tensions in the Middle East. However, rising input costs, combined with a slowdown in global demand, are weighing on already stretched corporate margins.

  • #經濟報告

    US tariffs: One year on, where do we stand?

    The trade war dominated economic news in 2025, and all the signs suggest it is far from over. Firstly, this article reviews the evidence pointing to the cost of tariffs being absorbed primarily by US companies. It then assesses the resilience of global trade.

  • 商業風險儀錶板

    透過科法斯針對 160 多個國家和 13 個產業的全球風險評估來應對不確定性。

  • #經濟報告

    Will Arctic shipping routes really reshape the map of global trade?

    The conflict in the Middle East and perturbations in the Strait of Hormuz have highlighted the fragility of the global maritime system. Against this backdrop, Arctic shipping routes are attracting renewed interest, as climate change makes navigation along them easier. Coface’s analysis shows, however, that within five years their commercial impact will remain marginal, although they could nevertheless offer significant benefits for certain commodity flows.

  • #經濟報告

    From Safe to Exposed: How AI is redrawing the map of work

    More than three years after the launch of ChatGPT, the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on employment remains largely invisible in aggregate statistics. However, it is beginning to emerge on the fringes in certain segments of the labor market, particularly in entry-level roles within the most vulnerable sectors. By providing a unique mapping of the exposure to AI-driven automation of the tasks that make up different occupations, this joint study by Coface and the Observatory of Threatened and Emerging Jobs (OEM) highlights a shift in the frontier of automation.